EPISODE 127 – Are You Taking More Investment Risk Than You Think?

If you have been watching your accounts climb over the last few years, it is easy to assume your investments are “working” and your risk level is fine. Markets are up, statements look good, and nothing feels urgent.

The problem is that most people only discover how much risk they are actually taking when the market turns in the wrong direction. By then, the experience can be painful enough to cause emotional decisions that derail a sound financial plan.

In Episode 127 of the Last Paycheck Podcast, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professionals Archie and Rob Hoxton talk about one of the most common blind spots they see: the gap between how much risk you are comfortable taking and how much risk you are actually taking in your portfolio.

This episode is a practical guide for anyone who wants to understand their risk exposure before the next downturn arrives.

Why Risk Feels Different When Markets Are Up

Archie frames the discussion around two core questions:

  1. How much risk are you truly comfortable taking
  2. How much risk are you actually taking right now

If you do not have clear, data based answers to both, you are at higher risk of being surprised during the next bear market. Surprise and fear are usually what drive investors to sell at the wrong time.

The goal is not to eliminate risk. That would leave you exposed to inflation and short of your long term goals. The goal is to align your risk exposure with your financial plan and your emotional tolerance, so you can stay invested through both good and bad markets.

Systematic vs Unsystematic Risk: What Are You Really Exposed To

The episode walks through two major types of investment risk:

  • Unsystematic risk
    This is the risk tied to a specific company, bond issuer, or sector. If you hold a single stock and that company runs into trouble, your portfolio can suffer badly. Diversification reduces this type of risk by spreading your money across many holdings, industries, and regions.
  • Systematic risk
    This is the risk of the entire market or system. In a true bear market or financial crisis, nearly all stocks fall together. You cannot diversify this risk away completely. You manage it through asset allocation, time horizon, and behavior.

A concentrated portfolio in just a handful of positions may look fine in a rising market, but it is exposed to both kinds of risk at once. A broadly diversified portfolio, built around your plan and withdrawal needs, behaves very differently when volatility returns.

How Much Could Your Portfolio Drop

One of the most practical points in the conversation is that every investor should have at least a ballpark answer to a simple question:

“If we experienced another 2008 style downturn, roughly how far might my portfolio fall”

Most investors, and many advisors, do not have a precise answer. They may speak in generalities like “moderate risk” or “balanced allocation,” but they have not quantified what that means in real dollar terms.

Rob and Archie describe the value of using planning and risk tools that:

  • Analyze your actual mix of funds and holdings
  • Estimate potential downside in severe historical scenarios
  • Compare that with your stated comfort level and goals

You may discover that your portfolio is much riskier than you thought, or that it is actually too conservative to meet your retirement objectives. Either way, you are better off knowing before the next storm, not during it.

Balancing Risk, Return, and Your Life Goals

The episode also emphasizes the tradeoffs involved in dialing risk up or down:

  • If you take very little risk, your expected return may only be a few percent per year. That may require working longer, saving more, or spending less.
  • If you take very high risk, you might see higher long term returns, but also deeper temporary losses that are hard to live through, especially near or in retirement.

The right balance depends on your age, savings, time horizon, and the lifestyle you want to support. A realistic financial plan needs to answer two questions together:

  • What rate of return do I need to reach or sustain my goals
  • What level of downside volatility can I reasonably accept along the way

Those answers then drive your asset allocation and diversification choices, rather than gut feelings or headlines.

Why Now Is the Time To Check Your Risk

We are currently several years into a strong market. That is exactly when it pays to pause and ask:

  • Has my risk level crept up as markets have risen
  • Am I relying on past performance without understanding downside risk
  • Does my portfolio still match my time horizon and withdrawal plans

Archie and Rob point out that corrections of 10 percent tend to happen every couple of years, and bear markets of 20 percent or more tend to show up every five to six years. They are not rare, and they are not permanent, but they are inevitable.

Getting clear on your risk profile now can prevent panic and regret later.

Final Thought: Do You Know Your Real Risk Profile

Ignoring risk does not make it disappear. It only makes the next downturn more stressful.

Taking the time to understand:

  • How your portfolio is currently invested
  • How it might behave in bad markets
  • Whether that aligns with your goals and comfort level

is one of the most important steps you can take for long term financial confidence.

You do not have to become an investment expert to get this right. You simply need a clear plan, honest expectations, and a risk level that you can live with when markets are rising and when they are falling.

If you are not sure whether your investments match your comfort level and retirement goals, now is the time to find out.

Use Hoxton Planning & Management’s Investment Alignment Worksheet to, map your current allocation, compare it to your true risk tolerance, and identify where you may be taking too much or too little risk. Then, if you want a professional second opinion, schedule a conversation with the Hoxton team to review your results and your overall retirement plan.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

EPISODE 126 – Is Your House Really an Investment or Just a Home?

If you spend any time online, you have probably seen bold claims about homeownership. Some voices insist you should never pay off your house and instead keep borrowing against it to build a real estate empire. Others argue that buying a house is “the worst investment in the history of mankind” and that you should always rent instead.

In Episode 126 of The Last Paycheck Podcast, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professionals Archie Hoxton and Rob Hoxton react to this kind of viral housing advice and offer a calmer, more realistic way to think about your home.

Their conclusion is straightforward. A house can be an asset, but for most people it is first and foremost a place to live your life. When you treat it only as an investment, you risk making decisions that look clever on paper but could be dangerous in the real world.

Why “Never Pay Off Your House” Is Risky Advice

One of the clips Archie and Rob review claims that paying off your mortgage is “the biggest mistake of your life.” The suggestion is to borrow aggressively against your home, use that money to buy multiple rental properties, and then live off the cash flow.

On the surface, the math sounds compelling. In practice, it is highly leveraged, highly concentrated risk.

  • It works beautifully in a strong, rising real estate market.
  • It can be devastating if property values fall, tenants disappear, or financing terms change.
  • In a serious downturn, you can end up underwater on multiple properties and lose not only your investments, but your primary home.

Rob and Archie remind listeners that this is not a neutral strategy. It is a speculative business model. For a small subset of people who truly want to be full-time real estate investors, high leverage might be part of the plan. For most families, it is far more risk than they need to take on to have a secure retirement.

A much more realistic path for many households is:

  • Buy a home that fits your budget.
  • Pay the mortgage on schedule, or a little faster if rates are high.
  • Build retirement savings at the same time, through a 401(k), IRA, or other investment accounts.

You do not have to choose between ever paying off your home and saving for retirement. The internet may frame it that way, but sound financial planning rarely does.

Is Buying a House Really a “Terrible Investment”?

Another popular video claims that buying a home is the worst investment you will ever make, once you factor in maintenance, taxes, mortgage interest, and selling costs. The speaker argues that unless your property more than doubles in value in ten years, you are behind.

Archie and Rob acknowledge that there is a grain of truth here. When you count all the costs of ownership, the true financial return on a primary residence may not match stock-market-level returns. That is especially true if:

  • You buy a home and only live in it for a short period.
  • Local prices stagnate or decline.
  • You stretch to buy more house than your budget supports.

However, this is still too narrow a lens. A house is not just a line on a balance sheet.

Your home provides:

  • Shelter and stability.
  • A place to raise children, host holidays, and build community.
  • The ability to customize your environment in a way renting often cannot.

From a planning standpoint, Rob suggests thinking of your home as shelter and possibly as a store of value, not primarily as a high-yield investment. If you make money on it over time, that is a bonus, not the main purpose.

When Renting Makes More Sense

One area where Archie and Rob strongly agree with some of the critics is on time horizon. If you know that you are unlikely to stay in a house for long, renting can absolutely be the smarter financial move.

Situations where renting often makes sense include:

  • You expect to move within five years.
  • Your job, family plans, or location are still in flux.
  • You do not have a sufficient down payment and would be taking on a very large mortgage relative to your income.

Short holding periods magnify closing costs, selling costs, and the risk that the market has a bad stretch at exactly the wrong time. Renting in those seasons can preserve flexibility while you build savings and clarity.

The Quiet Advantage of a Fixed Mortgage Payment

One point that rarely shows up in viral clips is the long-term advantage of a fixed mortgage payment.

If you take out a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and stay in the home for decades:

  • Your payment stays the same in nominal terms.
  • Your income, in most careers, rises over time.
  • Inflation gradually makes that fixed payment feel smaller in “real” dollars.

As Rob notes, by the time you are in year twenty-five or twenty-eight of your mortgage, you may still be making the same monthly payment, but your salary is far higher than it was in year one. That dynamic can make it easier to accelerate payments near retirement if that fits your plan, or simply enjoy a relatively low housing cost later in life.

How To Decide What Is Right For You

Instead of adopting an extreme stance for or against homeownership, Archie and Rob encourage listeners to ask practical questions that fit their own situation:

  • How long do you realistically expect to stay in this area and this home?
  • Can you afford the payment and still save for retirement and other goals?
  • Are you comfortable taking on real estate investor risk, or do you want a simpler path?
  • Does paying off your home before retirement support your sense of security and flexibility?

The right answer is highly personal. Some clients value the peace of mind of entering retirement without a mortgage. Others prefer to keep a low-rate mortgage and invest extra dollars elsewhere. Still others rent by choice for the flexibility.

A good financial plan makes these trade-offs visible, stress tests them under different market conditions, and helps you align your housing decision with your broader goals.

Final Thought

The loudest voices online often talk about housing in absolutes. Never pay off your house. Never buy. Always leverage. Always rent.

The reality, as Rob and Archie explain, is more nuanced. Your home is a financial decision, but it is also a life decision. When you see it that way, you can ignore the hype and choose the path that supports both your balance sheet and your well-being.

Thinking about buying, refinancing, or paying off your home and wondering how it all fits into your bigger financial picture?

Use Hoxton Planning & Management’s free Net Worth & Budget Worksheet to map out your income, expenses, debts, and assets so you can see clearly what you can afford and how housing decisions affect your long-term plan. If you want help turning that snapshot into a full retirement and investment strategy, you can also start a conversation with the team.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

EPISODE 123 – From Saver to Spender – How to Confidently Live on Your Retirement Savings

Stepping Into Retirement: Why Spending Can Feel So Hard

In Episode 123 of the Last Paycheck Podcast, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professionals Archie and Rob Hoxton tackle an issue many retirees do not expect. After decades of saving diligently, actually spending that money in retirement can feel uncomfortable, even frightening.

They describe two common personality types they see in their practice: people who are excellent savers but reluctant spenders, and people who are enthusiastic spenders but poor savers. Retirement planning is difficult for both groups, but that first group often faces a unique psychological hurdle. They have done the hard work of accumulating assets, yet feel anxiety when the paycheck stops and withdrawals begin.

For many, this hesitation is rooted in early money memories. Scarcity during childhood, parental messages about never touching principal, or memories of periods like the Great Depression or the 2008 crisis can all shape how someone feels about drawing down savings in retirement.

The Emotional Side of “Turning the Spigot Around”

Archie and Rob explain that this is not just a math problem. It is an identity and mindset shift. Throughout working years, the pattern is simple. Earn income, save a portion, never touch the nest egg. That habit is reinforced for 30 or 40 years.

When retirement arrives, the entire model flips. Income from work stops and your portfolio becomes the source of your lifestyle. Even when a financial plan shows a high probability of success, many retirees still feel uneasy. They worry about outliving their money, market volatility, or losing their sense of purpose once work is no longer central to their lives.

Rob notes that some of the people who struggle the most with this shift are also the people who delay retirement, even when they are financially ready. The fear of spending, combined with uncertainty about what comes next, keeps them working longer than they might otherwise choose.

Rethinking What Your Portfolio Is For

A major theme in the episode is reframing the role of your investments. Archie encourages listeners to ask a basic but powerful question: What were you saving for.

If the answer includes travel, time with family, meaningful volunteer work, or simply having flexibility, then at some point you must allow your money to do its job. That means seeing yourself not only as a worker, but as an investor whose capital is now doing the earning on your behalf.

They describe portfolios not as static piles of money, but as a productive “army of dollars” deployed into companies, bonds, and other assets that generate dividends, interest, and growth. Understanding how a diversified portfolio is designed to support long term withdrawals can make the idea of spending feel less like erosion and more like using a well engineered tool as intended.

The Power of a Scalable Lifestyle

One of the most practical concepts in the episode is the idea of a “scalable lifestyle.” Instead of a rigid, all or nothing retirement budget, a scalable lifestyle allows for spending that can be dialed up in good markets and pared back during more challenging periods.

Rob and Archie emphasize that being debt free is one of the most important foundations for this approach. Fixed debt payments reduce flexibility. Without them, you can temporarily reduce discretionary spending such as travel, large purchases, or luxury items if markets are struggling, without jeopardizing your basic needs.

This flexibility helps retirees feel more in control, which directly reduces anxiety about drawing from their portfolios.

Stress Testing Your Plan Against Real World Risks

Education and planning are at the heart of building confidence. Archie and Rob highlight several steps that can help a saver feel ready to spend.

1. Build and maintain a detailed financial plan

A good retirement plan does more than list account balances. It projects spending, taxes, Social Security, and investment returns under a range of scenarios. Modern planning tools can run thousands of simulations to estimate the probability that your plan will succeed, even if markets perform poorly in the early years of retirement.

2. Understand how market volatility affects withdrawals

Many retirees vividly remember 2008, along with other market shocks. The hosts explain that it is crucial to understand how different withdrawal rates behave during downturns, and how a properly diversified portfolio is designed to weather corrections and bear markets over time.

3. Clarify your non financial purpose

Part of the fear around retirement is not just about money. It is about identity. Rob jokes that he does not want to become “Rob who sits on the couch.” Thinking ahead about the roles, routines, and contributions that will give retirement meaning can make it easier to embrace the shift away from a paycheck.

From Anxiety to Confidence

The message of Episode 123 is not that fear is irrational, but that it is manageable. With a clear plan, a scalable lifestyle, and a better understanding of how your investments work, you can move from perpetual accumulation to thoughtful, confident spending in retirement.

You saved for a reason. At some point, it is not only acceptable to spend. It is the fulfillment of the plan you built.

Ready to find out if your retirement plan can support the life you want?

Download our Retirement Readiness Checklist and take the next step toward spending with confidence.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

EPISODE 122 – Social Security Pay Raise? The Gotchas You Need to Know

Social Security's 2026 Pay Raise: What You Gain—and What You Might Lose

As retirees gear up for a 2.8% Social Security increase in 2026, it’s tempting to view it as a long-overdue raise. But before you celebrate, it’s crucial to understand how much of that bump might get clawed back by taxes, rising Medicare premiums, and inflation.

In Episode 122 of The Last Paycheck Podcast, CFP® professionals Rob and Archie Hoxton pull back the curtain on how the Social Security COLA (Cost of Living Adjustment) is actually calculated—and why it’s not as intuitive as most people think. Unlike standard year-over-year inflation comparisons, the COLA is based on third-quarter changes in a very specific inflation measure: the CPI-W (Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers).

This year’s COLA is 2.8%, translating to:

  • $56 more per month for the average individual
  • $88 more per month for the average couple

But here’s the catch: Medicare premiums are also rising.

The base Medicare Part B premium is expected to jump from about $185 to $206/month. That means as much as half—or more—of your “raise” could go straight toward healthcare costs. For higher-income retirees, the IRMAA surcharge can make premiums even steeper.

Then there’s the issue of tax thresholds. Social Security benefits are subject to taxation once your income exceeds $25,000 (single) or $32,000 (married). But those thresholds haven’t budged in years. As your benefits rise, so does your chance of triggering the “tax torpedo”—where 50% to 85% of your benefit becomes taxable income.

And for high earners still in the workforce, the FICA wage cap is rising to $184,500 in 2026. That means you’ll pay more in payroll taxes—while still receiving the same capped benefit later in life.

Take Control of What You Can

Despite these complexities, there’s good news: With smart planning, you can reduce the impact of taxes, Medicare premiums, and inflation on your retirement income.

Re-evaluate your Social Security claiming strategy
Consider income shifting or Roth conversions
Review your Medicare premium brackets
Update your retirement projections using realistic inflation rates

Want help understanding how these changes affect you?

Download the Social Security + Medicare Planning Audit

Use our free worksheet to estimate your real net benefit after taxes and Medicare deductions, and plan your next steps.
Download The Audit Now
Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

EPISODE 121 – The Geography of Retirement: Why Your State Matters More Than You Think

When most people picture retirement, they imagine beach towns, warmer weather, or a slower pace of life. But there’s one factor that often gets overlooked—and it could drastically change your financial future: the tax implications of where you live.

In this episode of The Last Paycheck Podcast, CFP® professionals Rob and Archie Hoxton walk listeners through how your choice of state impacts your finances in retirement. From Social Security taxes to property levies, they make the case for why your zip code matters just as much as your income level.

The Tax Breakdown: Not All States Are Created Equal

There are 50 states—and 50 different tax structures. Some states (like Florida and Texas) have no income tax. Others (like California and New York) can significantly reduce your take-home income through higher income, property, or sales taxes.

Rob and Archie discuss:

  • Social Security taxation: Most states don’t tax it, but a few—including West Virginia (until 2026)—still do.
  • IRA and 401(k) withdrawals: Even if your federal taxes are consistent, state tax rules vary widely.
  • Property taxes: The difference between paying $700/year (Alabama) and $9,300/year (New Jersey) can blow a hole in your retirement plan.
  • Sales taxes: Some states trade low income taxes for higher consumption taxes. Be prepared.

Don’t Forget Estate and Inheritance Taxes

Twelve states still levy estate taxes—and six have inheritance taxes. If you live in Maryland, you’re hit with both. The federal exemption may not apply at the state level, so planning ahead is crucial if you’re hoping to preserve generational wealth.

Why Geography Isn’t Just About Lifestyle

Sure, you want to love where you live. But what if moving a few miles over the state line could save you thousands per year? The Hoxton’s highlight simple geographic tax-saving strategies, like:

  • Moving from Maryland to West Virginia
  • Swapping New Jersey for Pennsylvania
  • Buying in Delaware to avoid sales tax

These moves may sound small, but they can significantly reduce retirement expenses without requiring major sacrifices in lifestyle.

Your Financial Takeaway

Retirement planning isn’t just about how much you’ve saved—it’s also about where you spend it. By considering state taxes, property values, and cost of living, you can stretch your dollars further and avoid nasty surprises later on.

Download our Retirement Relocation Readiness Audit to assess whether your move is truly saving—or costing—you.

Thinking about relocating for retirement?

Make sure you’re not trading sunshine for higher taxes. Download our free Retirement Relocation Readiness Audit to compare costs and tax impacts before you move.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

EPISODE 120 – The Retirement Money You Forgot About – And How to Find It

What if you had $67,000 sitting in an old account and didn’t even know it?

In Episode 120 of The Last Paycheck Podcast, CFP® professionals Rob and Archie Hoxton sound the alarm on a shocking statistic: over 32 million 401(k) accounts are forgotten—totaling nearly $2 trillion in unclaimed retirement savings.

As more Americans change jobs—an average of 12 times over their careers—it’s increasingly easy to lose track of old retirement accounts. A new job, a move, a forgotten login, or awkward exit from a former employer can cause retirement savings to be misplaced or abandoned altogether.

Why 401(k)s Get Lost

  • You change jobs and forget about the old plan.
  • HR doesn’t communicate rollover steps clearly.
  • Your mailing address or email changes.
  • The employer switches plan custodians.
  • You mistakenly think you rolled everything over.

And because statements may have been mailed to your old address or sent to a now-defunct work email, it’s easy to miss the clues.

The High Cost of Forgetting

Leaving retirement accounts unmanaged can result in:

  • Poor investment returns (some old accounts default to low-interest cash funds).
  • Missed employer contributions due after your departure.
  • Outdated beneficiary designations—an ex-spouse or deceased parent could still be listed.
  • Higher management fees after you leave the employer.
  • Unclaimed checks mailed to the wrong address and never received.

In short, forgotten accounts can cost you significantly—both in dollars and in missed opportunity.

How to Reclaim Lost 401(k)s

Rob and Archie share several actionable steps:

  1. Make a list of all former employers. If they offered a 401(k), track it down.
  2. Search the DOL’s Retirement Savings Lost & Found
  3. Check state unclaimed property websites and com.
  4. Contact former HR departments, even if it’s awkward.
  5. Request recent account statements and update your beneficiary details.

What to Do Next

If you find an old 401(k), you have several options:

  • Roll it into your current employer’s plan for consolidation.
  • Roll it into an IRA for broader investment choices.
  • Leave it where it is, but only if you’re actively monitoring it.
  • Cash it out, though this is usually the least favorable due to taxes and penalties.

Rob and Archie emphasize: Don’t wait. Make recovering and consolidating your retirement funds part of your job transition checklist. The longer you delay, the higher the risk of forgetfulness, lost funds, or poor investment performance.

Need Help Finding Yours?

If you think you might have a forgotten retirement account—or simply want to ensure your retirement savings are properly managed—start with our Lost 401(k) Recovery Checklist and schedule a consultation today.

Download the checklist now:
Lost 401(k) Recovery Checklist

Think you’ve forgotten a 401(k)?

Don’t leave money on the table. Use our Lost 401(k) Recovery Checklist to track down every account and secure your financial future.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

Episode 116 – How to Handle Bear Markets at Every Stage of Life

Weathering the Storm: How to Handle Bear Markets Based on Your Age and Stage

Market downturns are a fact of life—just like taxes, birthdays, and awkward holiday dinners. The question isn’t whether bear markets will happen (they will), but how to handle them in a way that protects your long-term financial health.

In Episode 116 of Last Paycheck, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professionals Rob and Archie Hoxton walk listeners through how to think about market drops differently depending on where you are in your life journey. Here’s what they had to say.

Bear Markets in Early Career: Buy the Dip, Don’t Fear It

When you’re in your 20s or 30s, volatility can actually work in your favor. You’re buying shares at a discount during bear markets, which boosts long-term returns. But many young investors fall into the trap of viewing portfolio balances like bank accounts—when values drop, they panic and stop contributing.

Don’t make that mistake.

The Hoxtons recommend staying the course (or even increasing your contributions if possible) during down markets. Think in terms of share count, not account balance. This mindset shift can turn market dips into long-term gains.

Mid-Career: Stay the Course, Even While Catching Up

If you’re in your 40s to early 60s and still accumulating wealth, bear markets can feel riskier—especially if you’re behind on retirement savings. But the key lesson remains: keep contributing. Don’t let temporary declines derail your long-term strategy.

It may also be time to start refining your asset mix—adjusting the stock/bond ratio and increasing your emergency fund to reduce your emotional reaction to market swings.

Early Retirement: Flexibility Is Power

In the decumulation phase (the early years of retirement), bear markets are trickier. You may need to sell shares for income—but if markets are down, that means selling more shares to get the same dollar amount.

To reduce this risk, Rob and Archie recommend:

  • Holding 6–12 months of expenses in a “secure bucket” (cash, CDs, etc.)
  • Reducing spending temporarily during a downturn
  • Keeping your lifestyle scalable so you can pause discretionary expenses if needed

This flexibility can make the difference between staying on track and running into trouble.

Late Retirement: Don’t Go 100% Conservative

While it’s common to shift toward more conservative investments with age, Archie warns against becoming too conservative late in life. You may still need growth to fund longevity, healthcare costs, or legacy goals.

The right ratio of stocks, bonds, and cash depends on your personal needs—but don’t assume 100% bonds is the right choice at 85. Growth still matters.

The Bottom Line: Have a Plan

Ultimately, your success in navigating bear markets depends on having a well-thought-out financial plan. With a strategy that considers your time horizon, income needs, and psychological tendencies, you can avoid costly mistakes and turn downturns into long-term opportunities.

Ready to stress-test your investment strategy before the next bear market?

Download the Investment Alignment Worksheet to evaluate your portfolio—and see if you’re truly prepared for what’s ahead. Or schedule a free consultation to talk to a fiduciary advisor who’s on your side.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

Episode 115 – Should You Downsize? Avoid These Costly Mistakes

For many retirees, downsizing sounds like the perfect plan. A smaller space. Less maintenance. More cash in your pocket. But without proper planning, it can also lead to financial pitfalls that eat away at your retirement security.

In Episode 115 of the Last Paycheck Podcast, Certified Financial Planners® Archie and Rob Hoxton break down the emotional and financial implications of downsizing. They share client stories, real-life scenarios, and their best advice for approaching this major life transition with eyes wide open.

Why Downsizing Is a Retirement Gamechanger

Many retirees are sitting on significant home equity, especially after years of rising real estate prices. Downsizing is often a key strategy to unlock that equity for retirement income or legacy goals. Whether you’re thinking about moving closer to grandkids, entering a retirement community, or just shedding square footage, the why behind your move matters.

But don’t let emotions take over. Acting too quickly—especially in today’s competitive housing market—can create major tax and liquidity issues.

Don’t Make These Mistakes

Here’s what Archie and Rob warn against:
1. Signing a Contract Before Talking to Your Advisor
It’s tempting to move fast when your dream home hits the market. But buying before you’ve sold your current home can leave you scrambling for funds—and potentially incurring massive capital gains if you sell investments in a taxable account.
2. Ignoring Better Short-Term Financing Options
If you’re between selling one home and buying another, consider a:
  • Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC)
  • Securities-backed line of credit (from a brokerage account) These options can help you access liquidity without selling investments or triggering taxes.
3. Falling for Shady Lending Practices
Some lenders may suggest moving IRA assets to their firm to “qualify” for better loan terms. This is often unethical and may even be illegal. IRAs cannot be used as loan collateral, and no lender should require asset transfers just to issue a loan.
4. Overlooking Accessibility and Future Needs
Will your next home still serve you well at age 80 or 90? Ask yourself:
  • Can I live on one level?
  • Is the home accessible?
  • Are care services or retirement communities nearby?
  • Will I have to move again in a decade?
Rob and Archie compare the best retirement communities to going back to college—built-in meals, friends, and activities—with fewer keg stands.

The Bottom Line

Downsizing can absolutely help fund your retirement and simplify your life—but only when approached with the right strategy and support. Before making your move:

  • Map out your funding plan
  • Talk to your advisor
  • Understand the tax impacts
  • Look at the whole picture—your finances, your lifestyle, your future care

Need help building your downsizing game plan?

Download the Downsizing Decision Audit Worksheet to evaluate your readiness—and schedule a no-pressure consultation with our team.
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Episode 113 – Politics and Your Portfolio: How to Invest Without Losing Your Head

It’s no secret: political seasons can trigger intense emotions. But should those emotions guide your investment decisions?

In Episode 113 of the Last Paycheck podcast, Rob and Archie Hoxton explore how politics—left, right, or center—can quietly sabotage even the most thoughtful investors. From fear-induced selloffs to overconfidence when a preferred party is in power, political cycles tend to amplify emotional investing.

And that’s a problem.

Why Political Emotions Don’t Belong in Your Portfolio

Many investors believe that the markets will perform better—or worse—based solely on which party holds power. But the truth is more complex. Historically, markets have performed well under both Republican and Democratic leadership. Why? Because markets respond to long-term economic and business trends—not daily political drama.

As Archie puts it: “The market doesn’t care who’s president—it cares about earnings, interest rates, and business conditions.”

That means your personal reaction to politics could cause you to time the market poorly. And that rarely ends well.

The Cost of Emotional Investing

In the episode, Rob shares a client story about someone so politically stressed they stopped checking their account. When they finally came in for a review—expecting losses—they were shocked to learn their portfolio had actually grown significantly.

This isn’t uncommon. Political turmoil may cause short-term volatility, but long-term market gains often resume once emotions cool. Unfortunately, investors who panic miss the rebound—and lock in losses.

What to Do Instead

A better approach? Create a disciplined plan that can weather political storms:

  • Diversify broadly: U.S. and international markets, various sectors, risk-balanced portfolios.
  • Rebalance regularly: Keep your strategy aligned even as markets shift.
  • Keep investing: Especially if you’re still working. Long-term growth requires long-term participation.
  • Stress test your plan: Make sure you’re still on track even if markets dip.

Most importantly: avoid investing based on the news cycle. Markets care more about stability and policy than politics. And they hate emotional investors.

The Real Secret: A Financial Plan

Markets will always swing. Political drama will always exist. But a thoughtful, stress-tested financial plan can give you the clarity to ignore the noise—and keep moving forward.

As Rob says, “Having a plan means you don’t have to wonder whether you’re okay when the market drops. You’ll already know.”

Worried politics might derail your financial strategy?

Download our free Emotion-Proofing Your Investment Strategy worksheet to audit your current habits—and start planning with confidence. Or schedule a call with our team at Hoxton Planning & Management.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.

Episode 112 – Should You Trust Financial Rules of Thumb? Here’s What to Know

When it comes to managing your money, simple advice is appealing. Save 10%. Pay off all your debt. Take Social Security at 70. But are these “rules of thumb” really helping—or could they be steering you off course?

In Episode 112 of Last Paycheck, Archie and Rob Hoxton dive into the most common financial shortcuts and challenge their usefulness in real-world scenarios.

The Truth Behind 6 Common Rules of Thumb

Let’s walk through the popular rules discussed—and why they may or may not work for your situation.

1. Save 10% of Your Income

This is often the first bit of advice people hear when starting a new job. And for someone just getting started, it’s not bad. But for someone playing catch-up or approaching retirement? 10% likely won’t cut it. You may need 15% or more, especially if you didn’t start saving in your 20s.

Bottom line: A good starting point, but not a long-term strategy.

2. You’ll Need 80% of Your Income in Retirement

Rob and Archie caution that this rule may be outdated. Many retirees end up needing closer to 100%—especially in the early, active years of retirement filled with travel and new experiences. Later, healthcare costs often rise, adding more pressure to retirement budgets.

Bottom line: Don’t underestimate your lifestyle or medical expenses.

3. The 4% Withdrawal Rule

The 4% rule assumes you can withdraw 4% of your portfolio annually (adjusted for inflation) for 30 years without running out of money. But markets fluctuate. Emergencies happen. Needs change.

Bottom line: It’s a guide—not a guarantee. Your plan should adapt to your life.

4. Be Debt-Free Before Retirement

This one feels good—but may not always be the smartest financial move. If you have a 2% mortgage and your investments earn more, paying off that mortgage early could cost you in long-term growth. The key is balance.

Bottom line: Don’t sacrifice future wealth for short-term comfort.

5. Keep 3–6 Months in an Emergency Fund

Archie and Rob agree this is situational. A business owner with unpredictable income may need more than six months saved. A risk-tolerant investor with ample liquidity elsewhere might be fine with less.

Bottom line: Customize your emergency fund to your lifestyle and risks.

6. Delay Social Security Until 70

While waiting can increase your monthly benefit, it’s not always the best move. Health concerns, family longevity, and income needs all play a role. For some, claiming early might be a better fit—even if it’s not “optimal” on paper.

Bottom line: When to claim Social Security should be a personal decision, not a rule.

The Takeaway: Rules Are Just a Starting Point

Financial rules of thumb exist for a reason—they offer simplicity and can be helpful in the absence of a plan. But life isn’t one-size-fits-all, and neither is your money.

If you’ve been relying on quick shortcuts or conventional wisdom, now is the time to upgrade from “general advice” to a personalized plan that reflects your unique life, goals, and risks.

Want to stress-test your assumptions?

Download our Are You Relying on the Right Rules? Self-Audit Tool or schedule a call with Hoxton Planning & Management to start building a custom strategy that actually works for you.
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Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization’s initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.